Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.344800 3.694461 4.073392 4.515923 5.020262 5.579140 6.248069
2025-09-07 2.904350 3.385627 3.943957 4.644886 5.508815 6.548634 7.909836
2025-09-14 2.560635 3.098880 3.753946 4.620340 5.751975 7.202423 9.239653
2025-09-21 2.303995 2.870641 3.586679 4.574012 5.926034 7.752198 10.476257
2025-09-28 2.045056 2.605564 3.334724 4.373556 5.850725 7.932605 11.197037
2025-10-05 1.917264 2.496274 3.271177 4.411470 6.095390 8.573851 12.667224
2025-10-12 1.823920 2.422464 3.244778 4.491989 6.401009 9.330644 14.422407
2025-10-19 1.741982 2.355792 3.219490 4.566550 6.698681 10.103085 16.319537
2025-10-26 1.667032 2.291887 3.190628 4.629093 6.978637 10.874529 18.337459
2025-11-02 1.592048 2.221515 3.145041 4.658541 7.203524 11.575354 20.341301
2025-11-09 1.484806 2.095649 3.005695 4.524814 7.138262 11.755742 21.362279
2025-11-16 1.404765 2.005535 2.914514 4.460481 7.183055 12.135400 22.845649
2025-11-23 1.338300 1.933704 2.849308 4.437658 7.305620 12.688983 24.836750
2025-11-30 1.308684 1.917246 2.870840 4.563743 7.711849 13.847051 28.425320
2025-12-07 1.251228 1.852947 2.809797 4.539721 7.833063 14.448643 30.849715
2025-12-14 1.194525 1.786440 2.740445 4.494399 7.907000 14.959646 33.165608
2025-12-21 1.114661 1.678052 2.594359 4.298274 7.663170 14.754594 33.584327
2025-12-28 1.082163 1.645839 2.575580 4.335373 7.892599 15.625119 37.107980
2026-01-04 1.058868 1.627496 2.579178 4.414154 8.215654 16.756639 41.681035
2026-01-11 1.035962 1.608420 2.579996 4.487100 8.533737 17.926286 46.722186
2026-01-18 1.012528 1.587090 2.575249 4.548282 8.832460 19.096862 52.145678
2026-01-25 0.985657 1.558366 2.555278 4.577088 9.061491 20.128103 57.455628
2026-02-01 0.937736 1.490616 2.460294 4.446269 8.910858 20.138636 59.167852